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CheckWeather NZMangapapa
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mangapapa weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mangapapa's high today between 20° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 15°, with a 75% chance of rain.

21°
15°
20°
21°
12°
12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 10°·Rain 27%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low ·Rain 10%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Fog
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 3%
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Mangapapa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mangapapa swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1638 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
June
1638 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,160
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mangapapa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mangapapa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mangapapa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
21°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
20°
±3°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
21°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Sun
Drizzle
17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
21°
±2°
Thu
Drizzle
21°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
18°
±3°

Mangapapa, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1638 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mangapapa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mangapapa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
21°
13°
Apr
19°
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
17°
Oct
18°
10°
Nov
19°
12°
Dec
23°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mangapapa?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C91±4.6 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C90±5.0 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C77±11.5 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 22°±24%3% to 27% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±40%35% to 75% chance
Mon±3°19° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°21° to 23°±50%34% to 84% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±39%55% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mangapapa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mangapapa today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mangapapa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mangapapa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mangapapa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mangapapa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mangapapa (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mangapapa?
February is typically the warmest month in Mangapapa, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Mangapapa get?
The coldest month in Mangapapa is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Mangapapa get?
Mangapapa sees roughly 1638 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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