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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Opotiki weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Opotiki today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 16°, with a 62% chance of rain.

18°
16°
15°
18°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Clear
Feels 9° · Wind 28 km/h · Humidity 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 10° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 80%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 77%

Latest for Opotiki: European (ECMWF): 13° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 13° Partly cloudy.

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Opotiki weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Opotiki swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in January to 6°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1886 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
23°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
February
1886 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
4,900
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Opotiki and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Opotiki hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Opotiki 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Mon
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree

Opotiki, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1886 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Opotiki right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Opotiki climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
22°
15°
Mar
21°
13°
Apr
19°
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
12°
Dec
21°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Opotiki?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.8 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C85±7.3 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C86±6.8 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±13%0% to 13% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 18°±19%43% to 62% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°16° to 20°±38%13% to 51% chance
Wed±2°14° to 15°±20%48% to 68% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Opotiki

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Opotiki today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Opotiki today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Opotiki today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Opotiki and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Opotiki?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Opotiki (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Opotiki?
January is typically the warmest month in Opotiki, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Opotiki get?
The coldest month in Opotiki is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Opotiki get?
Opotiki sees roughly 1886 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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