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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Masterton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Masterton today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°
13°
16°
15°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 10%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Fog
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 3%
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Masterton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Masterton swings 18°C across the year, from 22°C highs in January to 4°C lows in August, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1200 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
22°C average high
Coldest month
August
4°C average low
Wettest month
February
1200 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and October
Residents
29,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Masterton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Masterton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Masterton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
15°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
10°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
16°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±3°

Masterton, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Masterton right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Masterton's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Masterton weather by month

what to expect in Masterton through the year

Here is Masterton's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Masterton by season.

Jan
22°
13°
Warm
Feb
22°
13°
Warm
Wettest
Mar
19°
10°
Mild
Apr
18°
10°
Mild
May
15°
Mild
Jun
13°
Cool
Jul
13°
Cool
Aug
13°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
17°
Mild
Nov
18°
10°
Mild
Dec
21°
13°
Mild

What Masterton's weather is like through the year

Masterton runs from warm summers, with January highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when August lows sit around 4°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Masterton sees roughly 1200 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Masterton

The most comfortable time to visit Masterton is usually January, March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Masterton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C94±3.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C89±5.5 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C93±3.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Masterton, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 80. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±71%3% to 74% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±4°15° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°13° to 17°±23%75% to 98% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±45%45% to 90% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Masterton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:12
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
11h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Masterton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Masterton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Masterton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Masterton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Masterton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Masterton (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Masterton?
January is typically the warmest month in Masterton, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Masterton get?
The coldest month in Masterton is August, when overnight lows average about 4°C.
How much rain does Masterton get?
Masterton sees roughly 1200 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Masterton?
The most comfortable time to visit Masterton is usually January, March, April and October, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Masterton?
Rarely - Masterton very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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