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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Timaru weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Timaru's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 15°, with a 94% chance of rain.

19°
15°
20°
16°
12°
16°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Cloudy
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 71%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low ·Rain 0%
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Timaru weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Timaru swings 20°C across the year, from 21°C highs in January to 1°C lows in July, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 752 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
21°C average high
Coldest month
July
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
752 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
29,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Timaru and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Timaru hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Timaru 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20°
±2°
Tue
Showers
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
16°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
13°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
15°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±2°

Timaru, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Timaru right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Timaru's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Timaru weather by month

what to expect in Timaru through the year

Here is Timaru's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Timaru by season.

Jan
21°
13°
Mild
Feb
21°
12°
Mild
Mar
19°
Mild
Apr
17°
Mild
May
14°
Cool
Jun
11°
Cool
Jul
11°
Cool
Aug
12°
Cool
Sep
15°
Mild
Oct
16°
Mild
Wettest
Nov
17°
Mild
Dec
20°
11°
Mild

What Timaru's weather is like through the year

Timaru runs from warm summers, with January highs near 21°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Timaru sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Timaru

The most comfortable time to visit Timaru is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Timaru?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.7 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C86±6.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C90±5.2 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Timaru, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 82. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°18° to 21°±71%0% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 15°±79%15% to 94% chance
Mon±2°20° to 22°±50%16% to 66% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±3%97% to 100% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±21%31% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Timaru

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
18:27
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Timaru today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Timaru today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Timaru today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Timaru and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Timaru?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Timaru (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Timaru?
January is typically the warmest month in Timaru, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Timaru get?
The coldest month in Timaru is July, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Timaru get?
Timaru sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Timaru?
The most comfortable time to visit Timaru is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Timaru?
Rarely - Timaru very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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