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CheckWeather UKMarket Drayton
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Market Drayton weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Market Drayton's high today between 18° and 20°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 3% chance of rain.

19°14°
17°
21°
21°13°
16°
19°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±6°
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 75%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Overcast
Feels 13° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 75%

Latest for Market Drayton: Met Office (UKMO model): 16° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 15° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Overcast.

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Market Drayton weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Market Drayton weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Market Drayton swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1059 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 35 frost nights, and rain on 159 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1059 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
94/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
35 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
159 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Market Drayton’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Market Drayton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Market Drayton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Market Drayton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
16°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 11°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
18° 11°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
22° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
23°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 11°
models agree

Market Drayton, England is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1059 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Market Drayton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Market Drayton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Market Drayton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C95±1.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C95±1.7 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1887 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°18° to 20°±25%65% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±3%0% to 3% chance
Mon±4°20° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±4°19° to 23°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±32%11% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Market Drayton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Market Drayton today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Market Drayton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Market Drayton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Market Drayton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Market Drayton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Market Drayton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Market Drayton?
June is typically the warmest month in Market Drayton, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Market Drayton get?
The coldest month in Market Drayton is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Market Drayton get?
Market Drayton sees roughly 1059 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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