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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Albuquerque (ABQ) weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Albuquerque today. Tomorrow looks showers around 80°, with a 63% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

77°61°
80°59°
81°57°
82°62°
79°62°
70°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Rain
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 58%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Rain
Today 78°·Low 61°·Rain 58%
EuropeanECMWF
77°
Showers
Today 77°·Low 62°·Rain 93%
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Albuquerque weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Albuquerque weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Albuquerque swings 70°F across the year, from 96°F highs in July to 26°F lows in January, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 10 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
26°F average low
Wettest month
March
10 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
2 months
April and October
Residents
565,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Albuquerque and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Albuquerque in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Albuquerque, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Albuquerque hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Albuquerque 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
77° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
80° 59°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 57°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
82° 62°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
79° 62°
±11°
Wed
Drizzle
70° 60°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
71° 61°
±11°
Fri
Drizzle
73° 62°
±19°
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 63°
±12°
Sun
Mostly clear
80° 62°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
78° 62°
±6°
Tue
Clear
81° 62°
±11°
Wed
Clear
80° 65°
±10°
Thu
Clear
81° 65°
±13°

Albuquerque, New Mexico (NM) (often shortened to ABQ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 10 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Albuquerque right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Albuquerque climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
26°
Feb
52°
29°
Mar
58°
35°
Apr
71°
43°
May
81°
54°
Jun
91°
64°
Jul
96°
70°
Aug
93°
68°
Sep
86°
60°
Oct
76°
50°
Nov
56°
35°
Dec
49°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Albuquerque?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±2.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F90±3.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°77° to 78°±35%58% to 93% chance
Tomorrow±9°76° to 85°±33%30% to 63% chance
Sun±5°79° to 85°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±5°79° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±11°75° to 86°±10%66% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Albuquerque

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Albuquerque today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Albuquerque today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Albuquerque today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Albuquerque and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Albuquerque?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Albuquerque (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 66. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Albuquerque?
July is typically the warmest month in Albuquerque, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Albuquerque get?
The coldest month in Albuquerque is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Albuquerque get?
Albuquerque sees roughly 10 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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