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CheckWeather US›Apple Valley

Apple Valley weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Apple Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Apple Valley, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Apple Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Apple Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
36°
17°
Mar
41°
23°
Apr
54°
37°
May
71°
51°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
35°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Apple Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Apple Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Apple Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Apple Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Apple Valley?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Apple Valley forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Apple Valley?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Apple Valley, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Apple Valley get?
The coldest month in Apple Valley is Jan, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Apple Valley get?
Apple Valley sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with Jun usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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