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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Briarwood weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Briarwood today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 71°, with a 2% chance of rain.

81°69°
71°61°
70°61°
69°60°
63°57°
64°55°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 70°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 69°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 70°·Rain 59%
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Briarwood weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Briarwood weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Briarwood swings 55°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 29°F lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
February
29°F average low
Wettest month
August
54 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
54,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Briarwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Briarwood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Briarwood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 69°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 61°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
70° 61°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
69° 60°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
63° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 55°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
63° 55°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
63° 55°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
68° 57°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
71° 58°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 59°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
76° 61°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
77° 64°
±4°
Thu
Rain
70° 57°
±8°

Briarwood, New York (NY) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Briarwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Briarwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
31°
Feb
45°
29°
Mar
51°
35°
Apr
61°
44°
May
70°
52°
Jun
79°
62°
Jul
84°
69°
Aug
81°
66°
Sep
76°
60°
Oct
67°
50°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
45°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Briarwood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F91±2.8 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°80° to 82°±54%5% to 59% chance
Tomorrow±2°70° to 72°±1%1% to 2% chance
Sun±4°69° to 73°±13%79% to 92% chance
Mon±3°67° to 70°±2%76% to 78% chance
Tuemodels agree63° to 64°±21%6% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Briarwood

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:59
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Briarwood today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Briarwood today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Briarwood today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Briarwood and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Briarwood?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Briarwood (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Briarwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Briarwood, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Briarwood get?
The coldest month in Briarwood is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Briarwood get?
Briarwood sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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