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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Camarillo weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Camarillo's high today between 75° and 80°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

78°58°
79°60°
80°61°
78°62°
78°62°
83°64°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
75°
Clear
Today 75°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Mostly clear
Today 78°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
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Camarillo weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Camarillo…

Camarillo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Camarillo swings 34°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 45°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
January
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
26 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
68,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Camarillo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Camarillo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Camarillo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
78° 58°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
79° 60°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
80° 61°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
78° 62°
±6°
Tue
Partly cloudy
78° 62°
±6°
Wed
Clear
83° 64°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 65°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
82° 65°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
83° 66°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
88° 67°
±19°
Mon
Cloudy
89° 70°
±20°
Tue
Cloudy
91° 72°
±7°
Wed
Clear
82° 66°
±6°
Thu
Clear
79° 62°
±9°

Camarillo, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Camarillo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Camarillo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
66°
48°
May
66°
52°
Jun
72°
55°
Jul
79°
57°
Aug
79°
59°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
77°
55°
Nov
71°
50°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Camarillo?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
84±1.6°F91±2.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
76
/100rank #2
43±5.7°F97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°75° to 80°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±6°77° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°76° to 83°±3%1% to 4% chance
Mon±6°74° to 80°±1%1% to 2% chance
Tue±6°74° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Camarillo

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
18:58
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Camarillo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Camarillo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Camarillo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Camarillo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Camarillo?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Camarillo (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Camarillo?
July is typically the warmest month in Camarillo, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Camarillo get?
The coldest month in Camarillo is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Camarillo get?
Camarillo sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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