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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Thousand Oaks weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Thousand Oaks today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 83°, with a 0% chance of rain.

79°58°
83°59°
83°62°
79°62°
82°62°
90°66°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Today 77°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Clear
Today 80°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Clear
Today 81°·Low 59°·Rain 0%
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Thousand Oaks weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Thousand Oaks…

Thousand Oaks weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Thousand Oaks swings 46°F across the year, from 90°F highs in July to 44°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 29 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
90°F average high
Coldest month
February
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
29 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, April, May and June
Residents
129,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Thousand Oaks and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Thousand Oaks hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Thousand Oaks 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
79° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
83° 59°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
83° 62°
±8°
Mon
Partly cloudy
79° 62°
±7°
Tue
Clear
82° 62°
±7°
Wed
Clear
90° 66°
±9°
Thu
Clear
89° 67°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 68°
±10°
Sat
Mostly clear
87° 67°
±18°
Sun
Cloudy
89° 69°
±17°
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 72°
±20°
Tue
Cloudy
95° 76°
models agree
Wed
Clear
85° 67°
±12°
Thu
Clear
81° 64°
±8°

Thousand Oaks, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 29 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Thousand Oaks right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Thousand Oaks climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
45°
Feb
60°
44°
Mar
59°
45°
Apr
68°
49°
May
69°
52°
Jun
76°
57°
Jul
90°
65°
Aug
87°
64°
Sep
82°
61°
Oct
82°
59°
Nov
70°
51°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°77° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°81° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±8°79° to 86°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±7°75° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°77° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thousand Oaks

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thousand Oaks today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Thousand Oaks today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thousand Oaks today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Thousand Oaks and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thousand Oaks?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Thousand Oaks forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Thousand Oaks?
July is typically the warmest month in Thousand Oaks, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Thousand Oaks get?
The coldest month in Thousand Oaks is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Thousand Oaks get?
Thousand Oaks sees roughly 29 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather