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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Simi Valley weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Simi Valley today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 83°, with a 0% chance of rain.

79°58°
83°59°
85°62°
80°61°
82°61°
91°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Clear
Today 77°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Clear
Today 81°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
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Simi Valley weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Simi Valley…

Simi Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Simi Valley swings 47°F across the year, from 92°F highs in July to 45°F lows in February, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 26 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
92°F average high
Coldest month
February
45°F average low
Wettest month
February
26 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
127,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Simi Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Simi Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Simi Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
79° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
83° 59°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
85° 62°
±10°
Mon
Partly cloudy
80° 61°
±8°
Tue
Clear
82° 61°
±7°
Wed
Clear
91° 64°
±9°
Thu
Clear
90° 65°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
87° 65°
±12°
Sat
Mostly clear
86° 64°
±15°
Sun
Cloudy
89° 67°
±18°
Mon
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±22°
Tue
Cloudy
96° 72°
models agree
Wed
Clear
84° 65°
±16°
Thu
Clear
81° 63°
±8°

Simi Valley, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Simi Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Simi Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
62°
46°
Apr
70°
50°
May
72°
54°
Jun
79°
59°
Jul
92°
69°
Aug
90°
67°
Sep
85°
64°
Oct
84°
60°
Nov
72°
52°
Dec
69°
50°

Which forecast is most accurate in Simi Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°77° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°81° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±10°79° to 89°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±8°75° to 83°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°78° to 84°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Simi Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
18:57
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Simi Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Simi Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Simi Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Simi Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Simi Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Simi Valley (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Simi Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Simi Valley, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does Simi Valley get?
The coldest month in Simi Valley is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Simi Valley get?
Simi Valley sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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