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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Carson weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 76° in Carson today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 79°, with a 0% chance of rain.

76°65°
79°64°
77°66°
75°67°
76°67°
80°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Mostly clear
Today 78°·Low 65°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 62°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 68°·Rain 0%
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Carson weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Carson weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Carson swings 40°F across the year, from 84°F highs in July to 44°F lows in January, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 23 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
84°F average high
Coldest month
January
44°F average low
Wettest month
February
23 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
93,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Carson hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Carson 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
76° 65°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
79° 64°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
77° 66°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
75° 67°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 67°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
80° 68°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 69°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
81° 70°
±12°
Sat
Partly cloudy
82° 71°
±16°
Sun
Cloudy
85° 72°
±15°
Mon
Mostly clear
85° 72°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
85° 74°
±11°
Wed
Clear
78° 69°
models agree
Thu
Clear
74° 68°
models agree

Carson, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
63°
44°
Mar
63°
47°
Apr
69°
50°
May
70°
55°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
84°
63°
Aug
84°
63°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
81°
57°
Nov
73°
49°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carson?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
76±2.4°F84±5.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
61
/100rank #2
8±9.2°F91±2.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°74° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°76° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±5°74° to 80°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±2°74° to 76°models agree2% to 2% chance
Tue±3°75° to 78°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:55
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carson?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Carson (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carson?
July is typically the warmest month in Carson, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Carson get?
The coldest month in Carson is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Carson get?
Carson sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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