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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Dallas

Dallas weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Clear
Feels 87° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 60%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Clear
Feels 86° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 62%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Clear
Feels 85° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 59%

Latest for Dallas: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 83° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 83° Clear · European (ECMWF): 82° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dallas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Dallas, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 54 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dallas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Dallas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
64°
45°
Mar
70°
51°
Apr
75°
57°
May
83°
66°
Jun
91°
73°
Jul
95°
77°
Aug
101°
81°
Sep
91°
72°
Oct
83°
63°
Nov
68°
50°
Dec
61°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Dallas?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
E
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
A
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
81
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F95±1.7 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models — app-store ratings coming soon.

Common questions

What's the weather in Dallas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dallas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dallas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dallas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dallas?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Dallas forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Dallas?
Aug is typically the warmest month in Dallas, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Dallas get?
The coldest month in Dallas is Jan, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Dallas get?
Dallas sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

Nearby

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Most accurate forecastUS rain radarAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadThe European model vs the American model: ECMWF vs GFSThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS