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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Dallas (DFW) weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Dallas today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 98°, with a 2% chance of rain.

98°79°
98°77°
99°78°
97°77°
94°76°
95°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
98°
Mostly clear
Today 98°·Low 80°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
97°
Partly cloudy
Today 97°·Low 79°·Rain 0%
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Dallas weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Dallas weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Dallas swings 63°F across the year, from 101°F highs in August to 38°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 54 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
101°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
May
54 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
1.3 million
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Dallas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dallas in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Dallas, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Dallas hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Dallas 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
98° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
98° 77°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
99° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
94° 76°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 76°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 76°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
93° 75°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
93° 75°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±17°
Tue
Clear
87° 69°
±12°
Wed
Partly cloudy
87° 66°
±8°
Thu
Clear
88° 66°
±6°

Dallas, Texas (TX). Often shortened to DFW. Below we compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Dallas right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Dallas's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Dallas weather by month

what to expect in Dallas through the year

Here is Dallas's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °F, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Dallas by season.

Jan
56°
38°
Cool
Feb
64°
45°
Mild
Mar
70°
51°
Mild
Apr
75°
57°
Warm
May
83°
66°
Warm
Wettest
Jun
91°
73°
Hot
Jul
95°
77°
Hot
Aug
101°
81°
Hot
Sep
91°
72°
Hot
Oct
83°
63°
Warm
Nov
68°
50°
Mild
Dec
61°
44°
Mild

What Dallas's weather is like through the year

Dallas runs from warm summers, with August highs near 101°F, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 38°F (a swing of about 63°F across the year). May is usually the wettest month, and Dallas sees roughly 54 inches of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Dallas

The most comfortable time to visit Dallas is usually February, March, April and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Dallas?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.4 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Dallas, scoring 95/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 90. See the full US accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±2°98° to 100°±9%19% to 28% chance
Mon±4°96° to 99°±32%19% to 51% chance
Tue±7°90° to 97°±3%7% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Dallas

today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 17m

Common questions

What's the weather in Dallas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Dallas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Dallas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Dallas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dallas?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dallas (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dallas?
August is typically the warmest month in Dallas, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Dallas get?
The coldest month in Dallas is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Dallas get?
Dallas sees roughly 54 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Dallas?
The most comfortable time to visit Dallas is usually February, March, April and November, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 60-78°F range and the heaviest May rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Dallas?
Rarely - Dallas very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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