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CheckWeather USGrand Prairie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Grand Prairie weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 98° in Grand Prairie today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 98°, with a 0% chance of rain.

98°79°
98°78°
99°79°
97°79°
94°77°
95°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Clear
Feels 101° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Clear
Feels 98° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 28%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Partly cloudy
Feels 102° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 38%

Latest for Grand Prairie: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 96° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 95° Clear · European (ECMWF): 96° Partly cloudy.

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Grand Prairie weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Grand Prairie…

Grand Prairie weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Grand Prairie swings 62°F across the year, from 100°F highs in August to 38°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
100°F average high
Coldest month
January
38°F average low
Wettest month
May
49 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
188,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Grand Prairie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Grand Prairie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Grand Prairie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
98° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
98° 78°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
99° 79°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
97° 79°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
94° 77°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
95° 76°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 77°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
93° 77°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
93° 76°
±7°
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 76°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 75°
±17°
Tue
Clear
87° 70°
±12°
Wed
Cloudy
88° 67°
±9°
Thu
Clear
89° 68°
±6°

Grand Prairie, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Grand Prairie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Grand Prairie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
64°
45°
Mar
70°
52°
Apr
75°
58°
May
83°
67°
Jun
92°
74°
Jul
96°
78°
Aug
100°
81°
Sep
91°
72°
Oct
83°
63°
Nov
68°
51°
Dec
62°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Grand Prairie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
98±0.2°F98±0.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F91±2.8 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°97° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±3°97° to 100°±8%28% to 36% chance
Mon±3°96° to 99°±13%28% to 41% chance
Tue±7°90° to 97°models agree8% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Grand Prairie

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Grand Prairie today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Grand Prairie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Grand Prairie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Grand Prairie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Grand Prairie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Grand Prairie (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Grand Prairie?
August is typically the warmest month in Grand Prairie, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Grand Prairie get?
The coldest month in Grand Prairie is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Grand Prairie get?
Grand Prairie sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

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