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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

DeSoto weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in DeSoto today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 96°, with a 0% chance of rain.

96°77°
96°75°
98°77°
96°77°
93°75°
94°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Mostly clear
Today 95°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Cloudy
Today 95°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
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DeSoto weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around DeSoto and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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DeSoto hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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DeSoto 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
96° 77°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
96° 75°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
98° 77°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 77°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
93° 75°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
94° 75°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
94° 75°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
92° 74°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
92° 74°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
94° 74°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
91° 74°
±18°
Tue
Mostly clear
86° 69°
±11°
Wed
Partly cloudy
88° 65°
±7°
Thu
Clear
88° 65°
±6°

DeSoto is a town of about 52,000 people in Texas (TX), sitting at 32.6°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast DeSoto with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Glenn Heights, Duncanville, Cedar Hill.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in DeSoto?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±1.1 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F95±1.5 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°95° to 97°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°95° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±2°97° to 99°±1%18% to 19% chance
Mon±2°95° to 98°±25%18% to 43% chance
Tue±5°90° to 96°±1%7% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in DeSoto

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
19:29
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in DeSoto today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for DeSoto today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in DeSoto today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for DeSoto and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for DeSoto?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for DeSoto (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More US weather