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Eldersburg weather

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Eldersburg weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Eldersburg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Eldersburg swings 56°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 32°F lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
32°F average low
Wettest month
September
45 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
31,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Eldersburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Eldersburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Eldersburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Eldersburg, Maryland (MD) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 32°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Eldersburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Eldersburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
45°
32°
Feb
49°
32°
Mar
54°
36°
Apr
66°
46°
May
73°
53°
Jun
83°
61°
Jul
88°
69°
Aug
84°
66°
Sep
77°
60°
Oct
68°
50°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Eldersburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
61
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F94±2.0 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Eldersburg today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Eldersburg today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Eldersburg today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Eldersburg and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Eldersburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Eldersburg (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Eldersburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Eldersburg, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Eldersburg get?
The coldest month in Eldersburg is January, when overnight lows average about 32°F.
How much rain does Eldersburg get?
Eldersburg sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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