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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Fairfield weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Fairfield today. Tomorrow looks showers around 88°, with a 62% chance of rain.

81°71°
88°66°
88°69°
71°62°
72°60°
69°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Sundaysplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Rain
Today 81°·Low 71°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 70°·Rain 41%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Drizzle
Today 82°·Low 72°·Rain 75%
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Fairfield weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Fairfield…

Fairfield weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Fairfield swings 58°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
January
40 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
43,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fairfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fairfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fairfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
81° 71°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
88° 66°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 69°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
71° 62°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
72° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
69° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
70° 60°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 59°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
73° 56°
±5°
Sun
Clear
75° 55°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 57°
±14°
Tue
Rain
70° 55°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
66° 51°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 50°
±7°

Fairfield, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fairfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fairfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
28°
Feb
52°
32°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
66°
45°
May
75°
55°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
86°
67°
Aug
85°
65°
Sep
80°
61°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fairfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F95±1.4 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°80° to 82°±34%41% to 75% chance
Tomorrow±6°85° to 91°±38%24% to 62% chance
Sun±7°86° to 93°±29%39% to 68% chance
Mon±4°69° to 73°±12%39% to 51% chance
Tue±4°71° to 74°±13%37% to 50% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fairfield

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fairfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fairfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fairfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fairfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fairfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fairfield (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fairfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Fairfield, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Fairfield get?
The coldest month in Fairfield is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Fairfield get?
Fairfield sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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