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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Hamilton weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Hamilton today. Tomorrow looks showers around 87°, with a 70% chance of rain.

80°70°
87°65°
88°69°
70°62°
72°60°
69°60°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Mainly clear
Feels 96° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Overcast
Feels 90° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 69%
EuropeanECMWF
86°
Light drizzle
Feels 93° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 60%

Latest for Hamilton: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 87° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 83° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 86° Light drizzle.

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Hamilton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Hamilton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hamilton swings 58°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
January
40 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
62,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Hamilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Hamilton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Hamilton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
80° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
87° 65°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
88° 69°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
70° 62°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
69° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 58°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 58°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
73° 54°
±5°
Sun
Clear
75° 53°
±10°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 55°
±14°
Tue
Rain
69° 53°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
65° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
69° 47°
±6°

Hamilton, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Hamilton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Hamilton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
28°
Feb
52°
31°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
66°
45°
May
75°
56°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
86°
67°
Aug
85°
65°
Sep
80°
61°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hamilton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 81°±21%42% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±5°85° to 90°±46%24% to 70% chance
Sun±7°85° to 92°±27%40% to 67% chance
Mon±5°67° to 73°±11%40% to 51% chance
Tue±3°70° to 73°±13%36% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hamilton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:22
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 19m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hamilton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Hamilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hamilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Hamilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hamilton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Hamilton (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hamilton?
July is typically the warmest month in Hamilton, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Hamilton get?
The coldest month in Hamilton is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Hamilton get?
Hamilton sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

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