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CheckWeather USLake Elmo

Lake Elmo weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Light drizzle
Feels 64° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Overcast
Feels 61° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
61°
Light drizzle
Feels 60° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 86%

Latest for Lake Elmo: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 61° Light drizzle.

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Lake Elmo weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lake Elmo weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lake Elmo swings 67°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 14°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
14°F average low
Wettest month
June
42 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
May, September and October
Residents
8,406
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lake Elmo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lake Elmo hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lake Elmo 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lake Elmo, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lake Elmo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lake Elmo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
35°
17°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
53°
36°
May
71°
51°
Jun
79°
61°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
43°
31°
Dec
34°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lake Elmo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lake Elmo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lake Elmo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lake Elmo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lake Elmo?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lake Elmo forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lake Elmo?
July is typically the warmest month in Lake Elmo, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Lake Elmo get?
The coldest month in Lake Elmo is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Lake Elmo get?
Lake Elmo sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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