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CheckWeather USLas Cruces

Las Cruces weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Las Cruces and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Las Cruces, NM is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 34°F), with roughly 5 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Las Cruces right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Las Cruces climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
34°
Feb
61°
37°
Mar
68°
42°
Apr
78°
50°
May
88°
59°
Jun
98°
69°
Jul
100°
74°
Aug
97°
72°
Sep
92°
65°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
66°
42°
Dec
61°
36°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Las Cruces today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Las Cruces today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Las Cruces today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Las Cruces and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Las Cruces?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Las Cruces forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Las Cruces?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Las Cruces, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Las Cruces get?
The coldest month in Las Cruces is Jan, when overnight lows average about 34°F.
How much rain does Las Cruces get?
Las Cruces sees roughly 5 in of precipitation a year, with Feb usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather