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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Layton weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Layton today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 68°, with a 53% chance of rain.

72°58°
68°53°
72°51°
78°53°
76°58°
78°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Showers
Today 72°·Low 56°·Rain 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Showers
Today 74°·Low 59°·Rain 64%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Drizzle
Today 71°·Low 59°·Rain 99%
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Layton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Layton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Layton swings 75°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 19°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
February
19°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
May and October
Residents
74,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Layton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Layton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Layton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
72° 58°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
68° 53°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
72° 51°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 53°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 58°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 56°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
83° 59°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
81° 62°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
78° 61°
±6°
Mon
Clear
76° 56°
±17°
Tue
Drizzle
77° 54°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
84° 59°
models agree
Thu
Clear
73° 61°
±12°

Layton, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 19°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Layton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Layton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
36°
21°
Feb
38°
19°
Mar
45°
26°
Apr
57°
33°
May
69°
43°
Jun
81°
55°
Jul
94°
63°
Aug
89°
61°
Sep
80°
52°
Oct
66°
40°
Nov
47°
27°
Dec
40°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Layton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±1.0 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F89±3.3 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°71° to 74°±35%64% to 99% chance
Tomorrow±4°66° to 70°±45%8% to 53% chance
Sun±2°71° to 73°models agree2% to 2% chance
Mon±2°77° to 80°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±3°75° to 78°±20%9% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Layton

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Layton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Layton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Layton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Layton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Layton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Layton (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Layton?
July is typically the warmest month in Layton, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Layton get?
The coldest month in Layton is February, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Layton get?
Layton sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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