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Lexington-Fayette weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lexington-Fayette and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Lexington-Fayette, KY is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lexington-Fayette right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Lexington-Fayette climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
44°
30°
Feb
55°
35°
Mar
57°
38°
Apr
67°
46°
May
75°
56°
Jun
83°
62°
Jul
87°
67°
Aug
85°
65°
Sep
81°
61°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
57°
41°
Dec
48°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lexington-Fayette today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lexington-Fayette today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lexington-Fayette today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lexington-Fayette and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lexington-Fayette?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Lexington-Fayette forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Lexington-Fayette?
Jul is typically the warmest month in Lexington-Fayette, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Lexington-Fayette get?
The coldest month in Lexington-Fayette is Jan, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Lexington-Fayette get?
Lexington-Fayette sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with Jan usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather