Little Elm weather
Loading live data…Latest for Little Elm: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 91° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 95° Clear · European (ECMWF): 95° Clear.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Little Elm and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models7-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitLittle Elm is a small town of about 38,000 people in TX, sitting at 33.2°N in a subtropical climate zone. NWS, American, European each forecast Little Elm with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include The Trails of Frisco, The Colony, Lake Dallas.
Which forecast is most accurate in the US?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.
Common questions
What's the weather in Little Elm today?
Will it rain in Little Elm today or tomorrow?
Which forecast is most accurate for Little Elm?
The forecasts Americans check
The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.