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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Manteca weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 85° in Manteca today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 91°, with a 0% chance of rain.

85°56°
91°58°
86°60°
88°58°
90°57°
96°61°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Mostly clear
Today 86°·Low 58°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
84°
Clear
Today 84°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Mostly clear
Today 85°·Low 57°·Rain 0%
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Manteca weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Manteca weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Manteca swings 61°F across the year, from 101°F highs in July to 40°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 25 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
101°F average high
Coldest month
February
40°F average low
Wettest month
January
25 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and November
Residents
75,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Manteca and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Manteca hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Manteca 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
85° 56°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
91° 58°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
86° 60°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
88° 58°
±8°
Tue
Clear
90° 57°
±7°
Wed
Clear
96° 61°
±7°
Thu
Clear
98° 67°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
91° 66°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
89° 63°
±14°
Sun
Clear
89° 62°
±15°
Mon
Mostly clear
90° 61°
±11°
Tue
Light drizzle
92° 61°
±6°
Wed
Clear
86° 58°
±16°
Thu
Clear
84° 57°
±12°

Manteca, California (CA) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 101°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 40°F), with roughly 25 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Manteca right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Manteca climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
42°
Feb
58°
40°
Mar
61°
43°
Apr
71°
47°
May
81°
53°
Jun
91°
59°
Jul
101°
65°
Aug
97°
64°
Sep
90°
60°
Oct
83°
56°
Nov
65°
45°
Dec
59°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Manteca?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F98±0.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
92
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°84° to 86°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°90° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±7°84° to 90°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±8°85° to 93°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°88° to 95°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manteca

today, local time
Sunrise
06:49
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manteca today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Manteca today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manteca today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Manteca and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manteca?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manteca (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manteca?
July is typically the warmest month in Manteca, with average highs around 101°F.
How cold does Manteca get?
The coldest month in Manteca is February, when overnight lows average about 40°F.
How much rain does Manteca get?
Manteca sees roughly 25 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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