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Every US forecast, compared
CheckWeather US›Tracy

Tracy weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Clear
Feels 85° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
89°
Clear
Feels 84° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 26%
EuropeanECMWF
85°
Clear
Feels 77° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 23%

Latest for Tracy: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 90° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 89° Clear · European (ECMWF): 85° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tracy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Tracy, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 41°F), with roughly 26 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tracy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Tracy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
43°
Feb
58°
41°
Mar
61°
44°
Apr
70°
49°
May
79°
54°
Jun
89°
60°
Jul
100°
66°
Aug
95°
64°
Sep
88°
60°
Oct
82°
58°
Nov
65°
47°
Dec
58°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tracy today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tracy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tracy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tracy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tracy?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Tracy forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Tracy?
July is typically the warmest month in Tracy, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Tracy get?
The coldest month in Tracy is February, when overnight lows average about 41°F.
How much rain does Tracy get?
Tracy sees roughly 26 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

NWSNational Weather Service
Open model · shown above ✓AWAccuWeather
Closed model · open ↗↗TWCThe Weather Channel
Closed model · open ↗↗

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