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Mexico weather

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Mexico weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Mexico…

Mexico weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mexico swings 63°F across the year, from 87°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 35 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
87°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
August
35 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mexico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mexico hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mexico 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Mexico, Missouri (MO) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mexico right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mexico climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
24°
Feb
52°
31°
Mar
56°
37°
Apr
68°
46°
May
78°
57°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
87°
69°
Aug
85°
68°
Sep
81°
61°
Oct
70°
51°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Mexico today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mexico today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mexico today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mexico and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mexico?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Mexico forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Mexico?
July is typically the warmest month in Mexico, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Mexico get?
The coldest month in Mexico is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Mexico get?
Mexico sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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