Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USMiddletown
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Middletown weather

Loading live data…

Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 79° in Middletown today. Tomorrow looks showers around 87°, with a 70% chance of rain.

79°70°
87°65°
87°69°
69°61°
71°60°
68°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaysplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
80°
Rain
Today 80°·Low 70°·Rain 50%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Cloudy
Today 78°·Low 69°·Rain 50%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Drizzle
Today 79°·Low 71°·Rain 63%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Middletown weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Middletown…

Middletown weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Middletown swings 57°F across the year, from 85°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
85°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
January
42 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
49,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Middletown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Middletown hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Middletown 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
79° 70°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
87° 65°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
87° 69°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 61°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
71° 60°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
68° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 58°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 58°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
73° 55°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
75° 53°
±9°
Mon
Cloudy
76° 55°
±12°
Tue
Rain
69° 54°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
64° 48°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
68° 47°
±5°

Middletown, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Middletown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Middletown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
28°
Feb
51°
31°
Mar
55°
35°
Apr
65°
45°
May
75°
55°
Jun
82°
62°
Jul
85°
67°
Aug
84°
64°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
67°
49°
Nov
55°
39°
Dec
46°
33°

Which forecast is most accurate in Middletown?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
74
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F94±2.0 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°78° to 80°±13%50% to 63% chance
Tomorrow±5°85° to 89°±44%26% to 70% chance
Sun±6°85° to 91°±24%43% to 67% chance
Mon±5°67° to 72°±8%43% to 51% chance
Tue±1°70° to 71°±14%35% to 49% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Middletown

today, local time
Sunrise
07:21
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Middletown today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Middletown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Middletown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Middletown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Middletown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Middletown (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Middletown?
July is typically the warmest month in Middletown, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Middletown get?
The coldest month in Middletown is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Middletown get?
Middletown sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather