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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Minot weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Minot today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 66°, with a 45% chance of rain.

74°57°
66°54°
61°47°
70°48°
68°49°
74°54°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±9°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Drizzle
Today 74°·Low 56°·Rain 19%
AmericanNOAA GFS
73°
Cloudy
Today 73°·Low 57°·Rain 19%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 56°·Rain 57%
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Minot weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Minot weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Minot swings 71°F across the year, from 80°F highs in July to 9°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 19 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
80°F average high
Coldest month
January
9°F average low
Wettest month
May
19 in a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
June and September
Residents
49,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Minot and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Minot hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Minot 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
74° 57°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
66° 54°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
61° 47°
±9°
Mon
Clear
70° 48°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
68° 49°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 54°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
78° 57°
±11°
Fri
Partly cloudy
76° 57°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
69° 57°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
60° 48°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
60° 46°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
64° 46°
±12°
Wed
Clear
70° 46°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
66° 53°
models agree

Minot, North Dakota (ND) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 9°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Minot right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Minot climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
Feb
31°
14°
Mar
28°
11°
Apr
50°
30°
May
68°
46°
Jun
75°
56°
Jul
80°
60°
Aug
79°
60°
Sep
76°
55°
Oct
57°
38°
Nov
37°
23°
Dec
31°
16°

Which forecast is most accurate in Minot?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 75°±38%19% to 57% chance
Tomorrow±1°66° to 67°±36%9% to 45% chance
Sun±9°56° to 65°±16%2% to 18% chance
Mon±2°68° to 70°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tue±6°65° to 71°models agree1% to 1% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Minot

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
12h 25m

Common questions

What's the weather in Minot today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Minot today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Minot today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Minot and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Minot?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Minot (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Minot?
July is typically the warmest month in Minot, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Minot get?
The coldest month in Minot is January, when overnight lows average about 9°F.
How much rain does Minot get?
Minot sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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