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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Mishawaka weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Mishawaka today. Tomorrow looks rain around 74°, with a 86% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

74°62°
74°61°
70°61°
65°55°
65°49°
62°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±9°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Light drizzle
Today 74°·Low 61°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Fog
Today 75°·Low 63°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
74°
Cloudy
Today 74°·Low 62°·Rain 73%
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Mishawaka weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Mishawaka weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mishawaka swings 58°F across the year, from 82°F highs in June to 24°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 41 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
June
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
July
41 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
48,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mishawaka and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mishawaka hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mishawaka 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
74° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
74° 61°
±9°
Sun
Showers
70° 61°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
65° 55°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 49°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
62° 53°
±5°
Thu
Partly cloudy
65° 55°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 56°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
70° 52°
±6°
Sun
Mostly clear
71° 50°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 53°
±7°
Tue
Showers
59° 52°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
58° 49°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
66° 51°
±5°

Mishawaka, Indiana (IN) is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 41 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mishawaka right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mishawaka climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
24°
Feb
45°
27°
Mar
49°
31°
Apr
60°
41°
May
73°
51°
Jun
82°
60°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
81°
62°
Sep
77°
58°
Oct
64°
47°
Nov
51°
37°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mishawaka?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.0 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.6 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°74° to 75°±66%7% to 73% chance
Tomorrow±9°71° to 80°±31%55% to 86% chance
Sun±3°69° to 72°±13%83% to 96% chance
Mon±3°63° to 67°±1%35% to 36% chance
Tue±4°63° to 68°±20%9% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mishawaka

today, local time
Sunrise
07:28
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mishawaka today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mishawaka today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mishawaka today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mishawaka and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mishawaka?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mishawaka (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mishawaka?
June is typically the warmest month in Mishawaka, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Mishawaka get?
The coldest month in Mishawaka is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Mishawaka get?
Mishawaka sees roughly 41 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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