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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Norman weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Norman today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 97°, with a 2% chance of rain.

97°76°
97°77°
93°75°
86°70°
82°65°
85°63°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±13°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Mostly clear
Today 97°·Low 77°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Mostly clear
Today 96°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
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Norman weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Norman…

Norman weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Norman swings 65°F across the year, from 96°F highs in August to 31°F lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
96°F average high
Coldest month
January
31°F average low
Wettest month
November
34 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and October
Residents
128,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Norman and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Norman hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Norman 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
97° 77°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
93° 75°
±13°
Mon
Drizzle
86° 70°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
82° 65°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
85° 63°
±9°
Thu
Partly cloudy
86° 66°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
80° 68°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
85° 68°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
90° 69°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
84° 66°
±23°
Tue
Clear
79° 61°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
84° 60°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
87° 65°
models agree

Norman, Oklahoma (OK) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 31°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Norman right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Norman climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
31°
Feb
58°
38°
Mar
64°
44°
Apr
72°
52°
May
81°
62°
Jun
91°
71°
Jul
93°
74°
Aug
96°
75°
Sep
88°
67°
Oct
78°
58°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
55°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Norman?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F94±1.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.6 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 97°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°96° to 97°±1%1% to 2% chance
Sun±13°88° to 100°±2%63% to 65% chance
Mon±5°85° to 90°±41%11% to 52% chance
Tue±7°79° to 87°±7%1% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Norman

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Norman today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Norman today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Norman today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Norman and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Norman?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Norman (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Norman?
August is typically the warmest month in Norman, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Norman get?
The coldest month in Norman is January, when overnight lows average about 31°F.
How much rain does Norman get?
Norman sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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