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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Ogden weather

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Showers,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Ogden's high today between 71° and 75°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 67°, with a 41% chance of rain.

74°59°
67°53°
72°50°
78°52°
76°58°
78°56°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Sundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
71°
Showers
Today 71°·Low 59°·Rain 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Showers
Today 75°·Low 59°·Rain 65%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Drizzle
Today 75°·Low 58°·Rain 100%
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Ogden weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Ogden weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ogden swings 76°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 18°F lows in February, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 22 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
February
18°F average low
Wettest month
January
22 in a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
May and October
Residents
85,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Ogden and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ogden hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ogden 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
74° 59°
±4°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 53°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
72° 50°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
78° 52°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
76° 58°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
78° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 56°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
83° 58°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
82° 60°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
78° 60°
±7°
Mon
Clear
76° 55°
±17°
Tue
Light drizzle
77° 52°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
85° 53°
models agree
Thu
Clear
72° 55°
±12°

Ogden, Utah (UT) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 18°F), with roughly 22 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Ogden right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Ogden climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
35°
19°
Feb
38°
18°
Mar
46°
25°
Apr
57°
32°
May
70°
42°
Jun
82°
54°
Jul
94°
62°
Aug
89°
60°
Sep
80°
51°
Oct
65°
40°
Nov
46°
26°
Dec
38°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ogden?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F86±4.3 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°71° to 75°±35%65% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±5°64° to 69°±32%9% to 41% chance
Sun±2°71° to 73°±2%2% to 4% chance
Mon±2°77° to 79°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±1°76° to 77°±17%8% to 25% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ogden

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ogden today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Ogden today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ogden today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Ogden and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ogden?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ogden (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ogden?
July is typically the warmest month in Ogden, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Ogden get?
The coldest month in Ogden is February, when overnight lows average about 18°F.
How much rain does Ogden get?
Ogden sees roughly 22 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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