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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Plano weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Plano today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 97°, with a 2% chance of rain.

97°79°
97°77°
98°78°
96°76°
93°74°
93°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
95°
Mainly clear
Feels 101° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Clear
Feels 96° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 32%
EuropeanECMWF
95°
Partly cloudy
Feels 100° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 36%

Latest for Plano: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 95° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 93° Clear · European (ECMWF): 95° Partly cloudy.

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Plano weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Plano weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Plano swings 62°F across the year, from 99°F highs in August to 37°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 55 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
99°F average high
Coldest month
January
37°F average low
Wettest month
May
55 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and November
Residents
284,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Plano and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Plano hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Plano 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
97° 79°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
97° 77°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 78°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
96° 76°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
93° 74°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
93° 73°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
93° 75°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
92° 74°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
91° 74°
±8°
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 74°
±9°
Mon
Drizzle
91° 74°
±20°
Tue
Clear
86° 66°
±15°
Wed
Partly cloudy
87° 65°
models agree
Thu
Clear
88° 67°
±4°

Plano, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 99°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 55 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Plano right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Plano climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
37°
Feb
63°
44°
Mar
69°
50°
Apr
74°
56°
May
83°
66°
Jun
90°
73°
Jul
94°
76°
Aug
99°
80°
Sep
90°
71°
Oct
81°
62°
Nov
67°
49°
Dec
60°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Plano?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F99±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F92±2.5 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 98°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°96° to 98°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±2°96° to 99°±24%22% to 46% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±25%22% to 47% chance
Tue±8°89° to 97°±2%6% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Plano

today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Plano today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Plano today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Plano today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Plano and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Plano?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Plano (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Plano?
August is typically the warmest month in Plano, with average highs around 99°F.
How cold does Plano get?
The coldest month in Plano is January, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Plano get?
Plano sees roughly 55 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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