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CheckWeather USRancho Santa Margarita

Rancho Santa Margarita weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Partly cloudy
Feels 70° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
68°
Overcast
Feels 71° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 82%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Overcast
Feels 85° · Wind 1 mph · Humidity 50%

Latest for Rancho Santa Margarita: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 66° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 68° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 82° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rancho Santa Margarita and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Rancho Santa Margarita, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 45°F), with roughly 28 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rancho Santa Margarita right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Rancho Santa Margarita climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
46°
Feb
60°
45°
Mar
60°
46°
Apr
68°
50°
May
71°
53°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
89°
69°
Aug
88°
68°
Sep
84°
64°
Oct
82°
62°
Nov
72°
53°
Dec
69°
51°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Rancho Santa Margarita today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rancho Santa Margarita today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rancho Santa Margarita today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rancho Santa Margarita and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rancho Santa Margarita?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Rancho Santa Margarita forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Rancho Santa Margarita?
July is typically the warmest month in Rancho Santa Margarita, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Rancho Santa Margarita get?
The coldest month in Rancho Santa Margarita is February, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does Rancho Santa Margarita get?
Rancho Santa Margarita sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather