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Saint Paul weather

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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Saint Paul and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

7-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Saint Paul, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Saint Paul right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

Saint Paul climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
36°
16°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
54°
36°
May
72°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
82°
62°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
78°
59°
Oct
62°
45°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
34°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
Behind Apple Weather, Windy
88
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF — European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
Behind Windy & many free apps
74
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F92±2.6 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 40 cities. Lower error means a higher score. The apps you know (AccuWeather, Apple Weather, The Weather Channel) are built on these models.

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Paul today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Saint Paul today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Saint Paul today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Saint Paul and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Paul?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Saint Paul forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Saint Paul?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Paul, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Saint Paul get?
The coldest month in Saint Paul is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Saint Paul get?
Saint Paul sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

The forecasts Americans check

The two biggest apps keep their model a secret, so we can't show their numbers, only link you to them. The National Weather Service is public, so its data sits right in the comparison above.

Nearby

More US weather