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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Tulsa weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 97° in Tulsa today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 97°, with a 1% chance of rain.

97°76°
97°76°
91°73°
83°69°
79°65°
80°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±15°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±12°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
97°
Clear
Today 97°·Low 78°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
99°
Mostly clear
Today 99°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 77°·Rain 25%
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Tulsa weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Tulsa weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Tulsa swings 64°F across the year, from 93°F highs in August to 29°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 42 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
29°F average low
Wettest month
May
42 in a year
Below freezing
1 month
January
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, October and November
Residents
413,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Tulsa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tulsa in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Tulsa, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Tulsa hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Tulsa 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
97° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
97° 76°
models agree
Sun
Thunderstorm
91° 73°
±15°
Mon
Light rain
83° 69°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
79° 65°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
80° 62°
±12°
Thu
Cloudy
83° 64°
±12°
Fri
Light drizzle
81° 67°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
83° 65°
±6°
Sun
Drizzle
85° 67°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
81° 66°
±14°
Tue
Clear
78° 61°
±8°
Wed
Partly cloudy
82° 59°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
88° 64°
models agree

Tulsa, Oklahoma (OK) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 29°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Tulsa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Tulsa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
47°
29°
Feb
58°
37°
Mar
64°
43°
Apr
72°
51°
May
80°
61°
Jun
90°
70°
Jul
92°
73°
Aug
93°
74°
Sep
86°
66°
Oct
76°
56°
Nov
62°
44°
Dec
53°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tulsa?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F96±1.4 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
89
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F97±1.0 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°96° to 99°±25%0% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±2°96° to 98°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±15°83° to 98°±2%59% to 61% chance
Mon±4°81° to 86°±30%31% to 61% chance
Tue±8°75° to 83°±6%2% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tulsa

today, local time
Sunrise
07:08
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
12h 18m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tulsa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Tulsa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tulsa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Tulsa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tulsa?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Tulsa (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tulsa?
August is typically the warmest month in Tulsa, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Tulsa get?
The coldest month in Tulsa is January, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Tulsa get?
Tulsa sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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