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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°F

Wayne weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 81° in Wayne today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 71°, with a 2% chance of rain.

81°66°
71°56°
68°59°
67°56°
60°52°
62°50°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaysplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Drizzle
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 65°·Rain 16%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 68°·Rain 38%
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Wayne weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Wayne weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Wayne swings 58°F across the year, from 86°F highs in July to 28°F lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 53 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
86°F average high
Coldest month
February
28°F average low
Wettest month
December
53 in a year
Below freezing
3 months
January, February and December
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
58,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wayne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wayne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wayne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
81° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
71° 56°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
68° 59°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
67° 56°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
60° 52°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
62° 50°
±7°
Thu
Light rain
61° 52°
±8°
Fri
Drizzle
67° 52°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
68° 53°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
71° 53°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
71° 54°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
75° 57°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
78° 57°
±5°
Thu
Light rain
69° 52°
±6°

Wayne, New Jersey (NJ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 28°F), with roughly 53 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wayne right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wayne climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
43°
29°
Feb
45°
28°
Mar
51°
34°
Apr
63°
43°
May
72°
51°
Jun
82°
61°
Jul
86°
68°
Aug
81°
64°
Sep
76°
59°
Oct
68°
49°
Nov
54°
38°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wayne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F96±1.4 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree81° to 81°±22%16% to 38% chance
Tomorrow±1°70° to 71°±2%0% to 2% chance
Sun±6°64° to 71°±8%90% to 98% chance
Mon±1°66° to 67°±2%69% to 71% chance
Tue±10°54° to 65°±16%8% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wayne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:00
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wayne today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wayne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wayne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wayne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wayne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wayne (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wayne?
July is typically the warmest month in Wayne, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Wayne get?
The coldest month in Wayne is February, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Wayne get?
Wayne sees roughly 53 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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