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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Invercargill weather

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Light snow,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 13° in Invercargill today. Tomorrow looks light snow around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°
10°
17°
10°
12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Light snow
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Snow showers
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 93%
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Invercargill weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Invercargill swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to 3°C lows in June, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1448 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
June
3°C average low
Wettest month
March
1448 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
58,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Invercargill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Invercargill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Invercargill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
10°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17°
±4°
Tue
Light snow
models agree
Wed
Snow
10°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
12°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
13°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
17°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Tue
Rain
14°
±4°
Wed
Rain
14°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12°
models agree

Invercargill, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Invercargill right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Invercargill's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Invercargill weather by month

what to expect in Invercargill through the year

Here is Invercargill's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Invercargill by season.

Jan
20°
11°
Mild
Feb
18°
10°
Mild
Mar
16°
Mild
Wettest
Apr
15°
Mild
May
12°
Cool
Jun
10°
Cool
Jul
10°
Cool
Aug
11°
Cool
Sep
13°
Cool
Oct
14°
Cool
Nov
15°
Mild
Dec
18°
10°
Mild

What Invercargill's weather is like through the year

Invercargill runs from warm summers, with January highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 3°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). March is usually the wettest month, and Invercargill sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Invercargill

The most comfortable time to visit Invercargill is usually January, February and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Invercargill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C90±5.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C79±10.4 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Invercargill, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 87. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 10°±20%80% to 100% chance
Mon±4°15° to 19°±3%93% to 96% chance
Tue±2°8° to 11°±7%93% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree9° to 10°±22%78% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Invercargill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
18:39
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Invercargill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Invercargill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Invercargill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Invercargill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Invercargill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Invercargill (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Invercargill?
January is typically the warmest month in Invercargill, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Invercargill get?
The coldest month in Invercargill is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Invercargill get?
Invercargill sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Invercargill?
The most comfortable time to visit Invercargill is usually January, February and December, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest March rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Invercargill?
Rarely - Invercargill very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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