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CheckWeather NZCromwell
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Cromwell weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Cromwell's high today between 14° and 17°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 96% chance of rain.

15°
11°
16°
11°
10°
14°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Drizzle
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Heavy drizzle
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 100%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Showers
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 90%
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Cromwell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cromwell swings 22°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1106 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
1106 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,160
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Cromwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cromwell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cromwell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Mon
Rain
16°
±4°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
15°
models agree
Sun
Snow
models agree
Mon
Snow
11°
±5°
Tue
Drizzle
16°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree

Cromwell, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1106 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cromwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Cromwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
13°
Feb
23°
12°
Mar
19°
Apr
17°
May
12°
Jun
Jul
Aug
10°
Sep
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
18°
Dec
22°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cromwell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C91±4.6 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
69
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C82±9.2 km/t5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
67
/100rank #3
58±2.3°C93±3.7 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°14° to 17°±10%90% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 12°±73%23% to 96% chance
Mon±4°14° to 18°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±1°11° to 12°±24%76% to 100% chance
Wed±1°10° to 11°±20%12% to 32% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cromwell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
11h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cromwell today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cromwell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cromwell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cromwell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cromwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cromwell (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the German at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cromwell?
January is typically the warmest month in Cromwell, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Cromwell get?
The coldest month in Cromwell is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Cromwell get?
Cromwell sees roughly 1106 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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