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CheckWeather NZRosedale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Rosedale weather

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Light snow,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 13° in Rosedale today. Tomorrow looks light snow around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°
10°
17°
12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
Light drizzle
Feels -1° · Wind 40 km/h · Humidity 67%
AmericanNOAA GFS
Drizzle
Feels 0° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 88%
GermanDWD ICON
Overcast
Feels 0° · Wind 37 km/h · Humidity 77%

Latest for Rosedale: European (ECMWF): 7° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 7° Overcast.

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Rosedale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rosedale swings 17°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to 3°C lows in June, and March is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1448 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
June
3°C average low
Wettest month
March
1448 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
3 months
January, February and December
Residents
7,620
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rosedale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rosedale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rosedale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light snow
13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light snow
10°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
17°
±4°
Tue
Light snow
±3°
Wed
Snow
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
12°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Tue
Rain
14°
±3°
Wed
Rain
14°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
13°
±2°
Fri
Drizzle
12°
models agree

Rosedale, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1448 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rosedale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Rosedale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
20°
11°
Feb
18°
10°
Mar
16°
Apr
15°
May
12°
Jun
10°
Jul
10°
Aug
11°
Sep
13°
Oct
14°
Nov
15°
Dec
18°
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rosedale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C90±5.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C93±3.3 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C68±16.2 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 11°±20%80% to 100% chance
Mon±4°15° to 19°±3%93% to 96% chance
Tue±3°7° to 11°±7%93% to 100% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±22%78% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rosedale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
18:39
Daylight
11h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rosedale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rosedale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rosedale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rosedale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rosedale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rosedale (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rosedale?
January is typically the warmest month in Rosedale, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Rosedale get?
The coldest month in Rosedale is June, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Rosedale get?
Rosedale sees roughly 1448 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

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