Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USCasas Adobes
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Casas Adobes weather

Loading live data…

Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Casas Adobes's high today between 92° and 96°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 96°, with a 1% chance of rain.

95°72°
96°72°
95°73°
96°77°
95°77°
92°77°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 74°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
96°
Clear
Today 96°·Low 72°·Rain 2%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 71°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Casas Adobes weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Casas Adobes…

Casas Adobes weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Casas Adobes swings 64°F across the year, from 103°F highs in July to 39°F lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 15 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
103°F average high
Coldest month
January
39°F average low
Wettest month
January
15 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, November and December
Residents
67,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Casas Adobes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Casas Adobes hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Casas Adobes 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
95° 72°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
96° 72°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
95° 73°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
96° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
95° 77°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
92° 77°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
93° 77°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
94° 79°
±8°
Sat
Light drizzle
96° 79°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
98° 80°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
98° 81°
±9°
Tue
Clear
101° 83°
models agree
Wed
Clear
98° 84°
±4°
Thu
Clear
96° 79°
models agree

Casas Adobes, Arizona (AZ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 103°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Casas Adobes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Casas Adobes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
60°
39°
Feb
64°
42°
Mar
68°
46°
Apr
82°
53°
May
90°
63°
Jun
99°
73°
Jul
103°
80°
Aug
99°
77°
Sep
97°
73°
Oct
89°
64°
Nov
72°
50°
Dec
69°
46°

Which forecast is most accurate in Casas Adobes?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F97±1.1 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
62
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F82±5.6 mph4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°92° to 96°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°95° to 97°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sun±2°94° to 97°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°94° to 98°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±6°93° to 99°±8%12% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Casas Adobes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
18:25
Daylight
12h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Casas Adobes today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Casas Adobes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Casas Adobes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Casas Adobes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Casas Adobes?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Casas Adobes (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 62. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Casas Adobes?
July is typically the warmest month in Casas Adobes, with average highs around 103°F.
How cold does Casas Adobes get?
The coldest month in Casas Adobes is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Casas Adobes get?
Casas Adobes sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather