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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Elyria weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Elyria today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 74°, with a 90% chance of rain.

74°62°
74°59°
71°62°
65°58°
65°55°
62°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
73°
Light drizzle
Today 73°·Low 61°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Cloudy
Today 75°·Low 62°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light drizzle
Today 73°·Low 62°·Rain 14%
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Elyria weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Elyria weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Elyria swings 54°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 27°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 45 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
27°F average low
Wettest month
June
45 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, September and October
Residents
54,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Elyria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Elyria hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Elyria 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
74° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
74° 59°
models agree
Sun
Rain
71° 62°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
65° 58°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
65° 55°
±7°
Wed
Drizzle
62° 56°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
64° 56°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
66° 56°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
69° 51°
±6°
Sun
Partly cloudy
71° 51°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 55°
±11°
Tue
Drizzle
70° 53°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
61° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
63° 48°
±4°

Elyria, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Elyria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Elyria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
27°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
49°
32°
Apr
62°
43°
May
70°
51°
Jun
78°
60°
Jul
81°
64°
Aug
79°
63°
Sep
75°
59°
Oct
64°
48°
Nov
52°
38°
Dec
43°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Elyria?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F97±1.0 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
63
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.5 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°73° to 75°±3%11% to 14% chance
Tomorrow±3°72° to 76°±60%30% to 90% chance
Sun±2°70° to 72°±2%87% to 89% chance
Mon±6°62° to 68°±5%15% to 20% chance
Tue±7°62° to 69°±8%35% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Elyria

today, local time
Sunrise
07:11
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 21m

Common questions

What's the weather in Elyria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Elyria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Elyria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Elyria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Elyria?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Elyria (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Elyria?
July is typically the warmest month in Elyria, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Elyria get?
The coldest month in Elyria is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Elyria get?
Elyria sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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