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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lorain weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Lorain today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 74°, with a 94% chance of rain.

73°63°
74°60°
71°63°
65°59°
65°56°
62°56°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeSundaymodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Light drizzle
Feels 75° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 75%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Overcast
Feels 72° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Light drizzle
Feels 77° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 77%

Latest for Lorain: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 72° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 72° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 73° Light drizzle.

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Lorain weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Lorain weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Lorain swings 51°F across the year, from 79°F highs in July to 28°F lows in January, and April is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
79°F average high
Coldest month
January
28°F average low
Wettest month
April
43 in a year
Below freezing
2 months
January and February
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
64,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lorain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lorain hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lorain 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
73° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
74° 60°
models agree
Sun
Showers
71° 63°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
65° 59°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
65° 56°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
62° 56°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
65° 57°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
66° 57°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
68° 52°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
71° 53°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
72° 55°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
71° 53°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
61° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
63° 49°
models agree

Lorain, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 79°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lorain right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lorain climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
38°
28°
Feb
44°
29°
Mar
47°
34°
Apr
59°
44°
May
67°
53°
Jun
76°
62°
Jul
79°
67°
Aug
77°
66°
Sep
73°
61°
Oct
63°
51°
Nov
52°
40°
Dec
43°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lorain?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
86±1.4°F93±2.3 mph5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
55
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F94±1.9 mph045% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°72° to 74°±12%12% to 24% chance
Tomorrow±4°73° to 77°±63%31% to 94% chance
Sun±2°70° to 72°±3%88% to 91% chance
Mon±7°62° to 69°±8%14% to 22% chance
Tue±5°62° to 67°±7%36% to 43% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lorain

today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lorain today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lorain today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lorain today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lorain and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lorain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lorain (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the American at 55. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lorain?
July is typically the warmest month in Lorain, with average highs around 79°F.
How cold does Lorain get?
The coldest month in Lorain is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Lorain get?
Lorain sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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