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CheckWeather USMorrilton

Morrilton weather

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Morrilton weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Morrilton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Morrilton swings 60°F across the year, from 93°F highs in August to 33°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 52 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
93°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
May
52 in a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 32°F
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
6,738
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Morrilton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morrilton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morrilton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Morrilton, Arkansas (AR) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 52 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Morrilton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Morrilton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
50°
33°
Feb
61°
40°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
72°
53°
May
82°
63°
Jun
91°
70°
Jul
92°
73°
Aug
93°
73°
Sep
86°
67°
Oct
78°
57°
Nov
64°
46°
Dec
55°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.2 mph8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F93±2.3 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Morrilton today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Morrilton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Morrilton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Morrilton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morrilton?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Morrilton forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Morrilton?
August is typically the warmest month in Morrilton, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Morrilton get?
The coldest month in Morrilton is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Morrilton get?
Morrilton sees roughly 52 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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